At the beginning of every Premier League season 40 points is deemed the total for survival. Based on that assumption AFC Bournemouth need five more points from nine games to reach the holy grail and another season in England’s top division.
But will AFC Bournemouth really need 40 points to survive? It seems unlikely that Aston Villa, Norwich, Newcastle and Sunderland are all suddenly going to start winning and AFC Bournemouth not pick up another point in nine games. Before the 2015/16 Premier League season started we took a look at the previous season stats to give ourselves a boost.
Survival over the last 4 seasons has ranged from 36-39 points. Back in 2013/14 West Brom survived with just 36 points, 40 points saw West Ham finish 13th. The 2014/15 season saw Aston Villa stay up with 38 points while Hull were relegated with 35 points.
WE ARE STAYING UP
AFC Bournemouth are currently 11 points clear of the relegation zone on 35 points. This means two from four would need to win four games while the Cherries picked up zero points before we were even to hit the relegation zone. Based on the current form of the bottom four it would seem none are likely to make up the deficit. Sunderland look like the team to most likely. They have gained 6 out of 18 points. Surprisingly Aston Villa have a better record over the last six games than Norwich, who have picked up one point out of 18.
During the same period AFC Bournemouth have picked up 10 points out of a possible 18 with three wins and a draw. With home games against Swansea, West Brom and an away game at Villa, we are confident we will be able to pick up the three points we need to stay in the Premier League. Whatever happens we are sure that our fate will not be decided on the last day of the season at Old Trafford. Instead, we look forward to the double over Man Utd.